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  • ARL Advisers Letter to Investors: December, 2011 Results

    ARL Advisers Letter to Investors: December, 2011 Results

    For the 4 week period from December 2, 2011 to December 30, 2011, the SP500 posted a 1.18% gain. For the year, the SP500 was essentially flat having loss 0.0032%. So there you have it! 2011 is in the books. There was a lot of nail biting and a lot of volatility, and in the [...]

  • ARL Advisers Letter to Investors: November, 2011 Results

    ARL Advisers Letter to Investors: November, 2011 Results

    For the 4 week period from November 4, 2011 to December 2, 2011, the SP500 posted a (0.26%) loss.  From January 1 through December 2, 2011, the SP500 is down (1.06%).

  • ARL Advisers Letter to Investors: October, 2011 Results

    ARL Advisers Letter to Investors: October, 2011 Results

    For the 5 week period from September 30, 2011 to November 4, 2011, the SP500 posted a 10.53% gain.  This essentially erased the losses for the year.  From January 1 through November 4, 2011, the SP500 is down (0.35%).

  • ARL Advisers Letter to Investors: September, 2011 Results

    ARL Advisers Letter to Investors: September, 2011 Results

    For the 4 week period from September 2, 2011 to September 30, 2011, the SP500 lost (3.31%).  This was on top of the (12.57%) loss suffered by the SP500 in the  prior two reporting periods (July 1 to September 2).  From January 1 through September 30, 2011, the SP500 is down (10.04%).

Recent Articles

Daily Sentiment Report: 1.27.12

Daily Sentiment Report: 1.27.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

January 26, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Interesting Article

Interesting Article

A very concise article from the always very verbose, but insightful Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital.  Schiff touches on several of the issues that have crept on to my radar screen in the past several days.

January 26, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Daily Sentiment Report: 1.26.12

Daily Sentiment Report: 1.26.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

January 25, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 1.25.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

January 25, 2012 | 0 Comments More
TLT: Topped Out

TLT: Topped Out

The last time I looked at the i-Shares Lehman 20 plus Year Treasury Bond Fund (symbol: TLT)  was on December 13, 2011, and I wrote the article, “TLT: Still Topping”.  This week’s gap down below the range has sealed the deal, and in all likelihood, TLT has put in an intermediate term top.  See figure [...]

January 24, 2012 | 2 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 1.24.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

January 23, 2012 | 0 Comments More
SLV: Moving Higher

SLV: Moving Higher

It was only a week ago when we last looked at the i-Shares Silver Trust (symbol: SLV).  See figure 1, a weekly chart of the SLV.

January 23, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Daily Sentiment Report: 1.23.12

Daily Sentiment Report: 1.23.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

January 22, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Investor Sentiment: Is this the End of the Road for the Rally?

Investor Sentiment: Is this the End of the Road for the Rally?

The “dumb money” indicator has become extremely bullish (bear signal), and this is what one would expect with rising prices.  The higher prices go the more bulls that are recruited.  But is it the end of the road for the rally?  Not necessarily so.  In 1995, 2003, 2009, and Q4 2010/Q1 2011 we saw the [...]

January 22, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Houston, There is a Problem

Houston, There is a Problem

We have already highlighted the breakout in the PowerShares QQQ Trust Series (symbol: QQQ), and it is has been clear from the market action over the past 3 weeks that nothing else really matters except, well, the market action.  As long as prices are going higher all must be right in the world.  Right?  It [...]

January 20, 2012 | 4 Comments More
Dollar Bull Trend Definitely Over and How This Might Impact Equities

Dollar Bull Trend Definitely Over and How This Might Impact Equities

Last week it was “likely” over.  This week, I am going to say that the bull trend in the Dollar is “definitely” over.  I am basing this observation on the fact that we are starting to see a clustering of negative divergence price bars.  This doesn’t necessarily mean a top and a reversal, but it [...]

January 20, 2012 | 0 Comments More
QQQ: Breakout or Fakeout?

QQQ: Breakout or Fakeout?

Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the PowerShares QQQ Trust Series (symbol: QQQ).  The black and red dots are key pivot points which are the best areas of buying (support) and selling (resistance).  With this week’s price action the QQQ is breaking to new rally highs.  This would be the 4th time over the [...]

January 20, 2012 | 2 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 1.20.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

January 19, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Recession Averted?

Recession Averted?

The very erudite Dr. John Hussman has some interesting comments in his latest weekly commentary.

January 19, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Daily Sentiment Report: 1.19.12

Daily Sentiment Report: 1.19.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

January 18, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 1.18.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

January 18, 2012 | 0 Comments More