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7/23/2008
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Based upon the indicators above I have developed several models that help identify when the market environment is favorable. These models are not intended to be used as mechanical trading systems, but they will serve as a guide to our trading decisions. |
System Name |
Index |
Mode |
Years |
# of |
% Profitable |
Annual |
Stop |
Rina |
$10,000 |
With Buy |
Peak to |
Prime Rate plus Price Structure Analysis Trading System |
S&P500 |
Long |
48.5 |
46 |
63% |
15.24% |
6% |
229 |
$147,787 |
$242,457 |
11.75% |
Short Term Interest Rate plus Price Structure Analysis Trading System |
S&P500 |
Long |
48.5 |
40 |
63% |
24.78% |
5% |
366 |
$118,807 |
$275,000 |
7.83% |
Interest Rate Super Indicator plus Price Structure Analysis Trading System |
S&P500 |
Long |
48.5 |
48 |
63% |
13.2% |
5% |
201 |
$181,809 |
$228,125 |
12.96% |
Bond Yield to Stock Earnings Yield Ratio plus Price Structure Analysis Trading System I (super bullish) |
S&P500 |
Long |
48.5 |
50 |
58% |
17.6% |
6% |
220 |
$47,078 |
$156,428 |
12.94% |
Bond Yield to Stock Earnings Yield Ratio plus Price Structure Analysis Trading System II (mildly bullish) |
S&P500 |
Long |
48.5 |
22 |
59% |
48.23% |
5% |
500 |
$24,031 |
$106,808 |
13.25% |
Price Structure Analysis Trading System |
NASDAQ |
Long |
32 |
65 |
54% |
17% |
4% |
186 |
$262,191 |
$189,632 |
9.26% |
Price Structure Analysis Trading System |
S&P500 |
Long |
38 |
93 |
44% |
8.2% |
3% |
134 |
$59,356 |
$136,750 |
14.47% |
Price Structure Analysis Trendline Break Trading System |
NASDAQ |
Long |
32 |
31 |
64.5% |
17.9% |
8% |
127 |
$201,450 |
$186,538 |
15% |
Price Structure Analysis Trendline Break Trading System |
S&P500 |
Long |
43.8 |
39 |
46% |
19.26% |
2.5% |
264 |
$40,096 |
$192,631 |
13% |
Confirmation Trend Following Trading System |
NASDAQ |
Long |
8.8 |
24 |
42% |
54% |
3.5% |
131 |
$32,007 |
$17,720 |
15% |
Investor Sentiment plus Price Structure Analysis Trading System |
NASDAQ |
Long |
15 |
24 |
58% |
42% |
6% |
277 |
$60,021 |
$56,201 |
14.4% |
Gold |
Gold |
Long |
27.5 |
25 |
72% |
30.5% |
7% |
116 |
$310,098 |
$11,733 |
8.88% |
| M3 Money Supply Trend | S&P 500 | Long | 23.5 | 35 | 63% | 26.84 | 7% | 125 | $31,327 | $101,495 | 34% |
| M3 Money Supply Oversold | NASDAQ | Long | 17.8 | 15 | 60% | 39% | 6% | 156 | $109,042 | $100,810 | 17.4% |
The trading diary tracks open and closed positions. The trading diary will list the equity, the date and buying price, the expected holding period, exit strategy, exit price, and the profit or loss. Learn more about the service
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