TacticalBeta is launched! TacticalBeta is a website that is all about a strategy commonly employed by hedge funds and endowments and that encompasses the best practices of generations. Investing in multiple non correlated assets (i.e., passive asset allocation) is a big improvement over buy and hold. Taking the investing process even further, TacticalBeta will show [...]
Dear Reader: In November, I will be introducing a new subscriber product called “TacticalBeta”. TacticalBeta is a website that is all about a strategy commonly employed by hedge funds and endowments and that encompasses the best practices of generations. Investing in multiple non correlated assets (i.e., passive asset allocation) is a big improvement over buy [...]
A graphic representation of the markets to keep you on the right side of the trend.
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
Investor sentiment hit a bullish extreme when the Federal Reserve announced QE3 7 weeks ago. Oops! Since then the equity market has done nothing but rollover and as expected, so has investor sentiment. Investors usually sour on the markets when prices head lower. Investor sentiment is cyclical as bearish extremes (bull signals) will follow bullish [...]
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
I am projecting the SP500 to drop 14% from the closing highs six weeks ago before finding a tradeable bottom. The week that QE3 was announced saw the SP500 close at 1465.77. By my calculations, the SP500 will bottom near the 1260 level, which is nearly 150 SP500 points from today’s prices.
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
A real time recession indicator constructed from a composite of leading economic indicators, high frequency economic data, and SP500 pricing models continues to suggest that the US economy is NOT in recession.
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
A composite indicator constructed from the trends in yields on the 10 year Treasury bond, gold and the CRB Index suggests that inflationary pressures have decreased. The indicator is shown in figure 1, a weekly chart of the SP500. I last discussed this indicator and its significance in this recent article.
A graphic representation of the markets to keep you on the right side of the trend.
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
