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Inflation Pressures: Still Low

Inflation Pressures: Still Low

A composite indicator constructed from the trends in yields on the 10 year Treasury bond, gold and the CRB Index suggests that inflationary pressures have hit their extreme lows. The indicator is shown in figure 1, a weekly chart of the SP500. I last discussed this indicator and its significance in this recent article.

November 19, 2012 | 3 Comments More
The Chart Book: 11.19.12

The Chart Book: 11.19.12

A graphic representation of the markets to keep you on the right side of the trend.

November 19, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 11.19.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

November 18, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Investor Sentiment:  Be On Alert for the Same Old Same Old

Investor Sentiment: Be On Alert for the Same Old Same Old

The SP500 is down 3.5% in November, a month where we are told the bulls always do well, and the index is down 7.2% since the announcement of QE3 to infinity, which was another can’t miss proposition for market participants.  Yes, investors continue to hope and hope and hope that the next market intervention will [...]

November 18, 2012 | 8 Comments More
Bond Model: Turns Bullish

Bond Model: Turns Bullish

Our fundamental bond model has turned positive, and we are bullish on US Treasury bonds.

November 18, 2012 | 1 Comment More

Daily Sentiment Report: 11.16.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

November 15, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 11.15.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

November 14, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 11.14.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

November 13, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Real Time Recession Indicator: 11.12.12

Real Time Recession Indicator: 11.12.12

A real time recession indicator constructed from a composite of leading economic indicators, high frequency economic data, and SP500 pricing models continues to suggest that the US economy is NOT in recession.

November 13, 2012 | 1 Comment More
Inflation Pressures: As Low As You Can Go!

Inflation Pressures: As Low As You Can Go!

A composite indicator constructed from the trends in yields on the 10 year Treasury bond, gold and the CRB Index suggests that inflationary pressures have hit their extreme lows. The indicator is shown in figure 1, a weekly chart of the SP500. I last discussed this indicator and its significance in this recent article.

November 13, 2012 | 3 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 11.13.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

November 12, 2012 | 0 Comments More
The Chart Book: 11.11.12

The Chart Book: 11.11.12

A graphic representation of the markets to keep you on the right side of the trend.

November 11, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 11.12.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

November 11, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Investor Sentiment: I Wish I Had a Nickel…

Investor Sentiment: I Wish I Had a Nickel…

I wish I had a nickel for every time I have been told that technical analysis doesn’t work or that TA doesn’t work because Ben Bernanke is backstopping the markets.  I would be a very rich man.  Truth be told, my market analysis is a little bit more comprehensive than just TA, and for that [...]

November 11, 2012 | 1 Comment More

Daily Sentiment Report: 11.9.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

November 8, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 11.8.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

November 8, 2012 | 0 Comments More