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Recent Articles

Working Against Their Own Self Interest

Working Against Their Own Self Interest

I was out and about, and I was listening to CNBC on the Sirius Radio, and the panic in the air over a three quarter of a percent down day is palpable.  The fellow with a British accent is in an absolute tizzy, and the stream of guests are spewing forth the usual nonsense and [...]

February 10, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 2.10.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

February 9, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 2.9.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

February 8, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Monthly Model Mania: February, 2012

Monthly Model Mania: February, 2012

This is our monthly review of our trading models or those tools that help us navigate the markets. In the equity markets, our model has turned bullish. To start the year, the model was bearish, and the basis for this was the lack of bearish sentiment in the market.  No bears means no short covering, [...]

February 8, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 2.8.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

February 7, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 2.7.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

February 6, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report:2.6.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

February 5, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Investor Sentiment: Liquidity Solves All

Investor Sentiment: Liquidity Solves All

Last week I stated: “The current market environment is looking more and more like quarter 4, 2010, which was heralded by QE2. This time the printing press is with the European Central Bank, but the Fed is doing a great job jawboning the market higher, and they are ready and willing to expand their balance [...]

February 5, 2012 | 3 Comments More
ARL Advisers Letter to Investors: January, 2012 Results

ARL Advisers Letter to Investors: January, 2012 Results

For the 5 week period from December 30, 2011 to February 3, 2012, the SP500 posted a 6.77% gain. For the year through February 3, 2012, the SP500 is up 6.77%.

February 4, 2012 | 0 Comments More
An Important Sell Signal

An Important Sell Signal

Our bond model has given a sell signal.

January 29, 2012 | 2 Comments More
Investor Sentiment: Looking Like Q4, 2010

Investor Sentiment: Looking Like Q4, 2010

Very little has changed from last week.  There are still troubling signs with regards to this price advance — volume is the most notable.  The economy is clearly in stall speed as 4th Quarter GDP was under consensus, and the Fed had the notion to let investors know that rates will be low through 2015.  [...]

January 28, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Bubble, Bubble, Toil and ….

Bubble, Bubble, Toil and ….

Readers often want to know what I am reading.  Well these are two “must read” articles on bubbles.

January 28, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Popular Strategy to Yield Buy Signal

Popular Strategy to Yield Buy Signal

It has become a popular strategy over the past decade, and it does have some merit, but there are some serious pitfalls. 

January 27, 2012 | 10 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 1.27.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

January 26, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Interesting Article

Interesting Article

A very concise article from the always very verbose, but insightful Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital.  Schiff touches on several of the issues that have crept on to my radar screen in the past several days.

January 26, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Daily Sentiment Report: 1.26.12

Daily Sentiment Report: 1.26.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

January 25, 2012 | 0 Comments More