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Daily Sentiment Report: 8.20.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

August 19, 2012 | 0 Comments More
The Chart Book: 8.19.12

The Chart Book: 8.19.12

A graphic representation of the markets to keep you on the right side of the trend.

August 19, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Bond Model Yields Sell Signal (Finally!)

Bond Model Yields Sell Signal (Finally!)

It was touch and go for a while, but our fundamental bond model has finally yielded a sell signal.  The model is now in congruence with the technical picture, which has been looking bearish.  As we know, the Federal Reserve has been buying bonds at the long end of the yield curve.  Figure 1 is [...]

August 19, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 8.17.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

August 16, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 8.16.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

August 15, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 8.15.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

August 14, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 8.14.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

August 13, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Real Time Recession Indicator: 8.13.12

Real Time Recession Indicator: 8.13.12

A real time recession indicator constructed from a composite of leading economic indicators, high frequency economic data, and SP500 pricing models continues to suggest that the US economy is NOT in recession.

August 13, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 8.13.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

August 12, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Investor Sentiment: Summer Doldrums!

Investor Sentiment: Summer Doldrums!

It is the summer doldrums.  Volume is pathetic.  There isn’t much to say that has not been said already.  The “smart money” is neutral.  The “dumb money” is really starting to believe.  In general, this is not a good recipe for higher prices.  Market tops take time, and this one appears to be no different!

August 11, 2012 | 0 Comments More
The Chart Book: 8.11.12

The Chart Book: 8.11.12

A graphic representation of the markets to keep you on the right side of the trend.

August 11, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Bond Model: Still Bullish!!

Bond Model: Still Bullish!!

This is why I use weekly data.  Earlier in the week, it appeared that our bond model would issue a sell signal — and let’s be clear that this is a “sell signal” as opposed to a call of turning bearish.  But as the week ended, the model remained bullish.  There is no sell signal.  [...]

August 11, 2012 | 2 Comments More
Show Me the Volume!

Show Me the Volume!

Show me the volume!  Yes, it is the summer doldrums, but volume on the PowerShares QQQ Trust (symbol: QQQ) is more than pathetic.  Even the high frequency trading machines are on vacation. 

August 9, 2012 | 0 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 8.10.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

August 9, 2012 | 0 Comments More
Bond Model: Failed Signal?

Bond Model: Failed Signal?

It appears that our bond model will yield a sell signal at the end of this week.  I use the word “appears” because my models utilize weekly data, signals are generated at the end of the week.  As I have stated on several occasions, the technical picture was looking rather weak despite the positive signal [...]

August 9, 2012 | 3 Comments More

Daily Sentiment Report: 8.9.12

The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]

August 8, 2012 | 0 Comments More