Real Time Recession Indicator: 9.18.12
A real time recession indicator constructed from a composite of leading economic indicators, high frequency economic data, and SP500 pricing models continues to suggest that the US economy is NOT in recession.
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Daily Sentiment Report: 9.18.12
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
Inflationary Pressures Are Very Elevated
A composite indicator constructed from the trends in yields on the 10 year Treasury bond, gold and the CRB Index continues to suggest that inflationary pressures are rising, and this, on average, is a headwind for equities. The indicator is shown in figure 1, a weekly chart of the SP500. I last discussed this indicator [...]
The Chart Book: 9.16.12
A graphic representation of the markets to keep you on the right side of the trend.
Daily Sentiment Report: 9.17.12
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
Investor Sentiment: That Was A Game Changer
Well, that was a game changer. Ben Bernanke and the FOMC surprised the markets with a QE that was significant in scope, unsterilized, and open ended. And if that doesn’t bring down unemployment, then they will do even more. As I stated last week: “investors will get to see how much Bernanke intends to put [...]
The Most Important Chart: Treasury Bonds
This week’s most important chart to watch is the yield on the 10 year Treasury bond (symbol: $TNX.X). See figure 1 a weekly chart.
Daily Sentiment Report: 9.14.12
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
Fed Day!
The market finds itself at the intersection in time where an overbought and over bullish rally built on a poor foundation meets the deep pockets of the Federal Reserve.
Daily Sentiment Report: 9.13.12
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
Long Term Oscillator Points Towards Weakness in Dollar
A long term oscillator, known as the Coppock Curve, points towards weakness in the Dollar. Figure 1 is a monthly chart of the Dollar Index (symbol: $DXY) with the Coppock Curve in the lower panel. The Coppock Curve is currently trading above the upper trading band that looks for statistically significant extreme readings over the [...]
Daily Sentiment Report: 9.12.12
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
Making a Living Not Allowed
The majority of information on this blog is for free. Without doing anything else, readers can come to this blog and click on whatever article they would like. We don’t ask for anything.
Real Time Recession Indicator: 9.11.12
A real time recession indicator constructed from a composite of leading economic indicators, high frequency economic data, and SP500 pricing models continues to suggest that the US economy is NOT in recession.
Daily Sentiment Report: 9.11.12
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
How to Blow a Bubble
Please don’t try this at home!