The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the i-Shares Lehman 20 plus Year Treasury Bond Fund (symbol: TLT). Figure 1. TLT/ weekly Last week, in the article on “Bond Technicals”, I provided some signposts to help guide us with the price action. As far as TLT was concerned, I stated: “It seems likely that TLT [...]
One of the models that I use to trade crude oil will generate a buy signal at the close of today’s trade. This model relies solely on technical (i.e., price) inputs, and while we can argue the merit of such analysis, one cannot argue the fact that price is the final arbiter. That is, whatever [...]
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
A simple trading model built on monthly data will likely yield a buy signal for crude oil. So what is up with that?
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
Ah the magic of the markets, and just like that last week’s losses are wiped out in one overnight session. Be thankful if you were long last week or you decided to go long in anticipation of the usual Thanksgiving rally that somehow did not arrive on time this year. Who says that market bailouts [...]
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
The best way to get more investors to turn more bearish in their outlook is to have lower prices. The sentiment indicators are nowhere near the kinds of extremes seen at market bottoms, so it would be my expectation that we will see lower prices as market bottoms tend to coincide with bearish extremes in [...]
Since March, 2011, most market participants have been wrong about the direction of Treasury bonds. Warren Buffet and PIMCO’s Bill Gross were the most notable back in March, and most recently, Doug Kass of TheStreet.com has gotten long Treasury yields by going long the Ultra Short Lehman 20 plus Year Treasury (symbol: TBT), an ETF [...]
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
What was your expectation for this Thanksgiving week?
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
The Rydex market timers represent a small segment of the investing world. Nonetheless, their actions remain a useful window into the mindset of investors. The Rydex asset data is sentiment data, and it is based upon real asset flows. It is not an investor opinion poll. By tracking the money, we get to see how [...]
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) improved month over month. However, the index still remains negative. More importantly, my real time recession indicator, which utilizes the CFNAI data, remains negative.
